Locker Room Access - Virginia

This month we’re trying a new format. We have multiple sources help compile the Intel Report.  

Make sure you login to the forum to checkout the latest updates. 

Wanted to put this out there because there’s a lot happening right now that isn’t public yet, and honestly, the next few weeks could shape UVA basketball recruiting more than any stretch in recent memory.

Some of this is already in motion. Some of it depends on how a few key pieces fall into place. But make no mistake — things are moving.

The Recruiting Landscape Is Not What It Used To Be

The biggest shift is structural, not tactical.

The school cap is real. Roughly $20.5M will be allocated under it, across all sports. That number matters, but what matters more is how it’s being divided.

Football is the priority. Full stop.

Exact allocations are still being finalized, but the direction is clear: men’s basketball will need to rely far more on NIL outside the cap to compete at a high level. Anything outside the cap now has to be legitimate NIL — real business purpose, real value exchange — and those deals are being audited (Deloitte keeps coming up in conversations).

This has already changed how deals are approached, which deals are approved, and which ones are quietly being declined.

Why This Matters for Recruiting Right Now

I’ve heard from multiple people that UVA men’s basketball doesn’t yet know its final NIL number outside the cap. That’s not a criticism — it’s just reality under the new system.

Because of that, the staff is:

• Evaluating aggressively

• Recruiting strategically

• Waiting to push certain buttons until the money picture is clearer

If you’re wondering why some things feel “quiet,” this is why.

If the goal is to consistently operate with a $10M+ roster, that money has to come from outside the cap. Collectives — especially non-profit ones — are playing a smaller role than before, and some of the old playbook simply doesn’t work anymore.

The good news: there are real businesses stepping up, and more conversations are happening than people realize. How quickly those turn into actionable NIL will matter a lot.

What Hasn’t Changed: How This Staff Evaluates Talent

One thing I’ll say very clearly: this staff does not recruit rankings/stars.

They recruit traits.

They are deeply invested in:

• Efficient 3s

• Easy 2s

• Decision speed

• Adaptability

• Learning curve

They are watching a ton of tape. Not highlights. Full possessions. How guys use screens. How they react when the first option is taken away. How quickly they process and adjust.

This is why you’ll start seeing interest in players UVA hasn’t traditionally gone after — including some from the Carolinas with higher profiles than fans might expect.

There are multiple 4-star level players they’re tracking closely, and at least one name that would surprise people if it became public.

A Big Weekend Is Coming (Mark Your Calendar)

This is where things get interesting.

I’ve heard there are a lot of things being planned for the weekend of 1/24, surrounding the North Carolina game. Not just on the court.

There is at least one high-level recruit expected to be on campus that weekend — someone the staff is very high on — and the timing is not accidental.

I’m intentionally being vague here for a reason, but I’ll say this:

• This is not a courtesy visit

• This is not random

• And this is not someone they’re “just getting to know”

How that visit goes will matter.

Current Roster Notes (Worth Paying Attention To)

The amount of film work going on right now is no joke. I’ve heard it’s been so intense that a few guys were literally caught nodding off early on — which should tell you how much detail is being emphasized.

Another notable shift: Odom has been very open to letting assistants take real command. New voices are being heard. Players feel that. That’s a meaningful change.

Specific things I’ve heard:

• The staff really likes Chance and is actively thinking about ways to keep him happy and fully bought in.

• They are also very high on Elijah Gertrude. He’s healthy, improving, and someone they want to keep in the program. There’s genuine belief there.

What to Watch Over the Next 30 Days

A lot hinges on:

• Final clarity around NIL dollars outside the cap

• How aggressive the staff can be once those numbers firm up

• How upcoming visits (including 1/24) go

They’ve evaluated a wide range of players — including at least one name currently playing at the G League level — but they’re not rushing decisions until they know exactly what resources they have.

That’s the smart move in this environment.

I’ll leave it there for now. More will come out as things firm up, but this is a pivotal stretch, and it’s going to answer a lot of questions about where UVA basketball recruiting is headed.

Curious what others are thinking/hearing — and what people think this all means long-term. Who would you guys like to see next? A few people will be using this account to answer questions you have. Ask away!

 https://virginia.forums.lockerroomaccess.com/t/new-vip-intel-report-december-2025-january-2026/13599

Led by new coach Ryan Odom, the Virginia Cavaliers are off to a 4-0 start with more challenging opponents looming on the horizon.  Before the season tipped, I listed five things to watch for in the early season.  Now, we look back to see how it’s played out so far. 

Cruise Control

Through four games against mid-major competition, Virginia has taken care of business.  None of the contests were ever in doubt, with the Hoos overwhelming lesser opponents as you’d hope.  The last two victories were especially convincing, taking 28-point leads into half over Hampton and Marshall.  They’ve covered the Vegas spread in three of those four wins, helping them inch upward in adjusted efficiency ratings.  

Virginia just scored 61 points in the first half against Marshall - the most in one half for a UVA team since 2007!

— Trilly Donovan (@trillydonovan) November 15, 2025

Over the long run, the margins of those games make little difference.  But typically, teams that wobble in the early season show signs even against the cupcakes.  Odom’s Wahoos passed that test and seem well-prepared for the stiffer upcoming opponents.    

Euro Stars

How well Virginia’s European imports Thijs de Ridder and Johann Grunloh adjust to the college game, as well as being in more featured roles, was seen as a big key entering the season.  It may be premature to fully judge.  But so far, so good.  

De Ridder currently leads the Wahoos in scoring at 17.3 PPG.  The more relevant indicator, he has the highest usage rate on the team at 26%.  He seems to have embraced his role as a go-to scoring option.  Meanwhile, Grunloh’s rate is a tad lower than we’d like at 19%. But he’s coming off his best scoring effort, a 16-point performance against Marshall in which he got up a season-high 11 field goal attempts.  Grunloh also leads the team in rebounds at 7.5 per game and ranks second nationally in blocked shots at 4.3 per game, so not a bad start for the German. 

Thijs De Ridder is the first UVA player to score 20+ points in the first two games of the season since Ty Jerome in 2018-19. pic.twitter.com/e7rkKsoZaA

— Preston Willett (@PrestonWillett) November 8, 2025

I’ll be keeping an eye on their foul rates as UVA steps up in competition.  As mentioned before, both of them were a little too foul prone in Europe.  In their roles with this UVA team, it’s really important that they stay on the floor.  Especially De Ridder.  So far, they’ve both kept it at an acceptable rate.  

Hometown Hero

Early season games represent the best opportunity for players to make an impression and move up in the rotation, before roles get cemented.  Virginia freshman point guard Chance Mallory has made the most of his first four career outings.  The St. Anne’s Belfield product is averaging 10.8 points, on an efficient 55% from the field while hitting at an early 60% clip behind the arc.  He’s carrying an impressive 4:1 assist-to-turnover ratio, and his 2.8 steals per game ranks third in the ACC. 

Chance Mallory had 16 points and 3 steals in the UVA win this week.

The last Virginia freshman to do that Justin Anderson in 2013. pic.twitter.com/g1jW3ytp3K

— Danny Neckel (@DNeckel19) November 14, 2025

Chance has logged over 20 minutes in every game.  Despite coming off the bench, his 22 minutes per game is 5th on the team.  He’s already on equal footing in the rotation with the more experienced guards that were expected to be ahead of him.  Mallory’s play has been the story of the early season, in my opinion.  The next four years with him are going to be a lot of fun.  He is a perfect fit in Odom’s system.  

Not So Fast

Virginia is playing at a much faster tempo.  There was only one direction that could go from the methodical pace of the Tony Bennett years.  But Odom’s past teams didn’t typically play at a super fast pace statistically either, and that’s the case for this year’s Wahoos.  So far, their adjusted tempo ranks 316th nationally. 

By the way, I don’t think that matters at all.  Fans make too much of it, mostly useful for calculating adjusted efficiency.  And the Hoos have been extremely efficient so far, ranking 11th offensively and 47th defensively.  Good for 25th in the country overall.  That’s what matters.

Solid Sam

We wondered about junior wing Sam Lewis after he had a couple disappointing performances in preseason scrimmages.  He’s been just fine since the games started to count.  The former Toledo star has started all four contests, averaging 10.8 points and shooting a blistering 53% from three-point range.  

Due to the injury to forward Devin Tillis, Lewis has seen expanded duties.  Odom has turned to him as an occasional small-ball power forward, helping back up Thijs de Ridder.  Lewis was always going to be an important piece this season.  But at least for the time being, he’s even more crucial.  His versatility in that regard will be invaluable for the Hoos in the non-conference tests to come.  

What’s Next

Ryan Odom’s Wahoos head over to West Virginia this weekend for their first real tests of the season as part of the Greenbrier Tip-Off.  They’ll face Northwestern (4-0) Friday evening at 5:00 PM Eastern, then Butler (3-1) on Sunday afternoon at 2:00 PM.  

Both look like quality opponents.  Northwestern currently ranks 44th in the KenPom ratings, while the Butler Bulldogs sit at 64th.  They represent opportunities for potential resume wins, depending how their seasons play out.  Virginia will likely be favored in each game.  It’ll be interesting to see how the new look Wahoos respond to their first power conference challenge.  

Come join the discussion on the Locker Room Access forum, the best spot on the web for the Wahoo Basketball fanatic.  

(Featured Image Credit: Josie Drumheller/UVA Athletics) 

Virginia basketball tips off a new season Monday night, the start of a new era under first-year head coach Ryan Odom.  Here are five things I’ll be paying close attention to as the early part of the season unfolds. 

Margins Matter

Virginia’s early November schedule gives them an opportunity to find their footing.  The Wahoos play their first four games at home against mid-major opponents.  Starting with Monday’s opener vs Rider, followed by meetings with NC Central, Hampton, and Marshall before heading over to West Virginia for the Greenbrier Tip-Off the weekend before Thanksgiving. 

With an older roster and an aggressive style of play, this is a UVA team that should be able to overwhelm lesser opponents.  It’s still basketball, game-to-game shooting variance can make things interesting on any given night.  But the totality of these early November games, the scoring margins, will probably give us a good read on where they stand and what to expect for the non-conference tests coming later this month and into December. 

Let’s also not forget that scoring margin does kinda matter now.  It’s a big part of the NCAA’s NET ranking formula.  

Exchange Rates

Perhaps the most key factor for Virginia this season will be how well their high-priced European imports adjust to the college game and their roles on this team.  Belgian forward Thijs de Ridder and German center Johann Grunloh are expected to be in the starting lineup.  For Odom’s Wahoos to reach their potential, those two need to be standouts. 

The first thing that’s required for that to happen is for them to avoid foul trouble so they can stay on the court.  Both had fairly high foul rates in Europe.  And the style of play in college is more conducive to drawing fouls.  On top of that, the NCAA is emphasizing that officials clean up some of the physical play.  So, expect games to be called tightly in the early going.

De Ridder and Grunloh will also need to adjust to being featured offensively, as opposed to being young role players on their European pro teams.  UVA wants them to be assertive, look to make plays on their own at times.  More than has been asked of them in the past.  Ideally, their usage rates should be above average.  

Early Opportunities

The best opportunity for players to make an impression and move up in the rotation comes in the early season.  Coaches usually like to have defined roles by conference play.  Until then, things can easily change. Odom does like to use a deeper rotation, and has said he plans to go 10-deep with this team.  But plans can change.  Players will need to prove their worth in November and December. 

That’s especially relevant for the young guys on this Virginia team.  Freshman guard Chance Mallory certainly figures to have a safe spot in the rotation, but there will be ample opportunity for him to earn a larger role if he shines these next few weeks.  Odom has indicated that sophomore guard Elijah Gertrude will have his minutes limited in the early season, as he works his way back from knee surgery.  He seemed to be the 10th man during the scrimmages.  And freshman wing Martin Carrere could enter the conversation if he can provide an early season spark off the bench. 

Fast or Faster

The style of play under Odom will be quite different than Virginia fans had grown accustomed to with Tony Bennett.  More of the analytic-driven approach that’s become prevalent in modern basketball.  Odom’s teams shoot lots and lots of three-pointers.  He likes to pressure full-court and create turnovers.  And the pace of play will be much faster.  

The question is–will Virginia actually play at a fast pace comparable to the rest of college basketball.  Despite the talk about Odom wanting to play fast, his past teams haven’t done so in a while.  At least not statistically.  Only once has his team ranked in the top 100 of Division-1 in adjusted tempo, and that was his first season at UMBC.  His VCU squads ranked in the bottom half, outside the top 200, both years there. 

Silent Transfers

Two of Virginia’s key transfer additions had very quiet performances in their two preseason exhibition games.  Guard Sam Lewis started both games, and likely will again on Monday.  His spot could be on shaky ground though.  He only logged 11 minutes in the win over Villanova.  And former UC-Irvine forward Devin Tillis, coming off the bench, didn’t do much either. 

Now that the games count, it’ll be interesting to see how well those two perform.  Moving up from the mid-major ranks, there’s sometimes an adjustment period even for older players. They’re important pieces that Odom is counting on to provide solid production this season. 

Hoops is back! The best spot on the web to hang out is the Locker Room Access forum. Come join the discussion.  We’ll have Virginia Basketball covered every step of the way all season long.

(Featured Image Credit: Jamie Holt/UVA Athletics)